Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | LIP -250 FGCU +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FGCU +10 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | LIP -6.7 (-16.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.9 (+12.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -4.5 (-14.5) | 136.7 (+11.3) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -4.7 (-14.7) | 137.6 (+10.4) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -5.2 (-15.2) | 135.9 (+12.1) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -4.7 (-14.7) | 135.8 (+12.2) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | FGCU 77 – 53 LIP |
| Jan 23, 2026 | LIP 86 – 71 FGCU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | LIP 84 – 77 FGCU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | LIP 82 – 68 FGCU |
| Jan 26, 2024 | LIP 98 – 72 FGCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIP | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-12 | 10-8 |
| Conference | 9-6 | 4-5 |
| Home | 10-4 | 7-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-2 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 70.6 |
| Massey | -4.5 (#241) | -8.3 (#298) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#208) | -0.86 (#238) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#195) | -1.36 (#254) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#213) | 0.405 (#303) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIP | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 30.6 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.5 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 24.1% |
| ORB% | 20.8% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 14.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.3% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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