Betting Lines
| Spread | DREX -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | W&M +180 DREX -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | W&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DREX +15 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | DREX -3.6 (-11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.5 (+9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DREX -2.2 (-12.8) | 135.7 (+7.3) | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DREX -2.4 (-12.6) | 132.0 (+11.0) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DREX -3.2 (-11.8) | 134.8 (+8.2) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DREX -2.4 (-12.6) | 135.3 (+7.7) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | DREX 64 – 58 W&M |
| Feb 15, 2025 | W&M 72 – 59 DREX |
| Feb 7, 2025 | DREX 86 – 66 W&M |
| Jan 6, 2024 | DREX 77 – 55 W&M |
| Dec 31, 2022 | DREX 66 – 56 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | W&M | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-10 | 12-8 |
| Conference | 4-6 | 4-5 |
| Home | 1-3 | 3-2 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.8 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 67.4 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#270) | 0.2 (#159) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#225) | -0.86 (#239) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.44 (#256) | -0.94 (#229) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#203) | 0.425 (#280) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | W&M | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 80.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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