Betting Lines
| Spread | UNM -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | UNM -450 SJSU +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJSU +12 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | UNM -9.6 (-21.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.6 (+15.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNM -9.2 (-21.2) | 132.2 (+21.8) | 81% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNM -7.5 (-19.5) | 134.6 (+19.4) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNM -8.5 (-20.5) | 136.7 (+17.3) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNM -8.6 (-20.6) | 134.1 (+19.9) | 77% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | UNM 93 – 77 SJSU |
| Feb 1, 2026 | UNM 90 – 80 SJSU |
| Dec 21, 2025 | UNM 88 – 65 SJSU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | UNM 63 – 52 SJSU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | SJSU 71 – 70 UNM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNM | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-16 | 5-16 |
| Conference | 2-15 | 3-13 |
| Home | 1-4 | 4-6 |
| Away | 3-8 | 0-8 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L3 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.1 | 63.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 82.4 |
| Massey | -9.7 (#307) | -19.3 (#345) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#232) | -3.72 (#340) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.14 (#242) | -5.16 (#339) |
| RPI | 0.442 (#258) | 0.364 (#332) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNM | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.4% | 35.9% |
| 3PT% | 24.5% | 28.7% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 0.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.1% | 41.3% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 20.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 64.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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