Betting Lines
| Spread | SYR -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | SYR +100 VT +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SYR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SYR +18 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | SYR -3.2 (+14.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.0 (-8.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SYR -2.5 (+15.5) | 145.0 (-7.0) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SYR -2.7 (+15.3) | 141.0 (-3.0) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SYR -2.6 (+15.4) | 144.7 (-6.7) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SYR -2.5 (+15.5) | 144.2 (-6.2) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | VT 76 – 74 SYR |
| Mar 1, 2025 | VT 101 – 95 SYR |
| Feb 28, 2024 | SYR 84 – 71 VT |
| Jan 29, 2023 | VT 85 – 70 SYR |
| Jan 12, 2023 | SYR 82 – 72 VT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SYR | VT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-10 | 15-7 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 9-4 |
| Home | 13-1 | 10-2 |
| Away | 2-7 | 3-3 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 66.0 |
| Massey | 11.4 (#39) | 11.0 (#43) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.45 (#73) | 2.77 (#21) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.91 (#76) | 3.59 (#25) |
| RPI | 0.554 (#82) | 0.605 (#34) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SYR | VT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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