Betting Lines
| Spread | RID -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | RID +100 MRST +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RID +12 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | RID -1.0 (+11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.8 (+4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RID -0.8 (+11.2) | 136.4 (+3.6) | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RID -0.1 (+11.9) | 131.5 (+8.5) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RID -0.5 (+11.5) | 134.9 (+5.1) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RID -0.5 (+11.5) | 136.0 (+4.0) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | MRST 81 – 52 RID |
| Jan 11, 2026 | MRST 71 – 49 RID |
| Jan 19, 2025 | RID 64 – 57 MRST |
| Feb 11, 2024 | MRST 77 – 62 RID |
| Jan 14, 2024 | MRST 83 – 60 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-17 | 12-9 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 10-8 |
| Home | 1-8 | 6-3 |
| Away | 4-8 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 63.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 63.6 |
| Massey | -8.1 (#296) | -6.2 (#269) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.56 (#289) | -0.52 (#210) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.11 (#290) | -0.99 (#232) |
| RPI | 0.441 (#260) | 0.483 (#196) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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