Betting Lines
| Spread | BAY -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | OKST +500 BAY -600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BAY +15 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | BAY -10.6 (-4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.2 (-3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BAY -7.7 (-7.3) | 146.5 (+0.5) | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BAY -7.1 (-7.9) | 144.9 (+2.1) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BAY -9.6 (-5.4) | 145.9 (+1.1) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BAY -7.8 (-7.2) | 144.9 (+2.1) | 19% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 14, 2026 | BAY 94 – 79 OKST |
| Mar 2, 2025 | BAY 71 – 61 OKST |
| Jan 6, 2024 | BAY 75 – 70 OKST |
| Feb 28, 2023 | BAY 74 – 68 OKST |
| Jan 14, 2023 | BAY 74 – 58 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | BAY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-9 | 28-2 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 13-1 |
| Home | 10-3 | 11-0 |
| Away | 8-4 | 7-1 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 10-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | W6 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 82.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 65.5 |
| Massey | 10.1 (#51) | 23.5 (#1) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.96 (#14) | 4.97 (#2) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.40 (#12) | 6.90 (#2) |
| RPI | 0.610 (#28) | 0.644 (#8) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | BAY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 50.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 42.6% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 58.6% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 38.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 26.7% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.