Betting Lines
| Spread | BAY -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | OKST -111 BAY -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BAY +6 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | BAY -1.4 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.9 (-0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BAY -0.2 (-5.8) | 146.0 (-4.0) | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BAY -1.5 (-4.5) | 142.9 (-0.9) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BAY -1.0 (-5.0) | 145.0 (-3.0) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BAY -0.3 (-5.7) | 147.3 (-5.3) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 14, 2026 | BAY 94 – 79 OKST |
| Mar 2, 2025 | BAY 71 – 61 OKST |
| Jan 6, 2024 | BAY 75 – 70 OKST |
| Jan 14, 2023 | BAY 74 – 58 OKST |
| Feb 22, 2022 | BAY 66 – 64 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | BAY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-16 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 11-7 |
| Home | 12-6 | 14-3 |
| Away | 6-7 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 70.3 |
| Massey | 10.6 (#40) | 15.6 (#12) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.69 (#49) | 2.93 (#7) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.33 (#45) | 3.55 (#7) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#84) | 0.620 (#11) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | BAY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 35.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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