Betting Lines
| Spread | BAY -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Under |
| Money | OKST +190 BAY -230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BAY +2 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | BAY -6.5 (+4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.3 (-10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BAY -3.7 (+1.7) | 143.8 (-13.8) | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BAY -3.2 (+1.2) | 139.5 (-9.5) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BAY -2.9 (+0.9) | 142.5 (-12.5) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BAY -3.2 (+1.2) | 143.8 (-13.8) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 14, 2026 | BAY 94 – 79 OKST |
| Mar 2, 2025 | BAY 71 – 61 OKST |
| Jan 6, 2024 | BAY 75 – 70 OKST |
| Feb 28, 2023 | BAY 74 – 68 OKST |
| Jan 14, 2023 | BAY 74 – 58 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | BAY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-15 | 27-7 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 14-4 |
| Home | 10-6 | 15-2 |
| Away | 3-8 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 64.1 |
| Massey | 10.2 (#46) | 19.5 (#4) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#72) | 3.36 (#6) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.02 (#58) | 4.14 (#6) |
| RPI | 0.554 (#73) | 0.622 (#15) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | BAY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 37.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.9% | 24.0% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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