Betting Lines
| Spread | TXST -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Over |
| Money | ULM +250 TXST -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ULM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXST +6 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | TXST -6.5 (+0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.7 (+4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXST -5.8 (-0.2) | 130.9 (+1.1) | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXST -4.3 (-1.7) | 129.3 (+2.7) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXST -3.6 (-2.4) | 130.6 (+1.4) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXST -5.0 (-1.0) | 131.3 (+0.7) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | TXST 95 – 84 ULM |
| Jan 3, 2026 | TXST 84 – 79 ULM |
| Feb 20, 2025 | TXST 80 – 63 ULM |
| Feb 14, 2025 | TXST 72 – 60 ULM |
| Feb 28, 2024 | TXST 73 – 55 ULM |
Game Analysis
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