Betting Lines
| Spread | UIW -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | UIW +100 AMCC +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIW +19 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | UIW -4.2 (+14.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.4 (-10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIW -3.3 (+15.7) | 135.1 (-10.1) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIW -3.0 (+16.0) | 134.9 (-9.9) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIW -4.1 (+14.9) | 136.6 (-11.6) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UIW -3.0 (+16.0) | 136.1 (-11.1) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | UIW 71 – 69 AMCC |
| Jan 24, 2026 | AMCC 79 – 71 UIW |
| Feb 15, 2025 | AMCC 69 – 55 UIW |
| Jan 18, 2025 | AMCC 69 – 63 UIW |
| Mar 7, 2024 | AMCC 71 – 52 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIW | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-14 | 5-19 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 2-13 |
| Home | 5-7 | 4-8 |
| Away | 3-6 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L6 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 63.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 74.1 |
| Massey | -10.7 (#315) | -12.1 (#326) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.03 (#331) | -3.59 (#338) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.97 (#337) | -5.57 (#341) |
| RPI | 0.387 (#314) | 0.369 (#329) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIW | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 38.6% |
| 3PT% | 41.9% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 29.5 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 44.6% |
| TOV% | 22.6% | 26.2% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 64.6% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 28.4% |
Game Analysis
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