Betting Lines
| Spread | USD -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | PORT +160 USD -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PORT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USD +8 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | PORT -0.1 (-8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.2 (-2.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PORT -1.1 (-9.1) | 145.4 (+2.6) | 53% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USD -0.2 (-7.8) | 147.2 (+0.8) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PORT -0.3 (-8.3) | 148.5 (-0.5) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PORT -0.8 (-8.8) | 145.9 (+2.1) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | PORT 87 – 74 USD |
| Feb 12, 2026 | USD 71 – 58 PORT |
| Mar 2, 2025 | USD 82 – 80 PORT |
| Jan 24, 2025 | PORT 92 – 82 USD |
| Feb 16, 2024 | USD 71 – 66 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PORT | USD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-15 | 3-11 |
| Conference | 0-11 | 2-7 |
| Home | 5-8 | 0-5 |
| Away | 1-6 | 3-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L13 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 85.1 | 77.1 |
| Massey | -9.7 (#308) | -7.0 (#277) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.70 (#224) | -1.60 (#291) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.77 (#275) | -2.29 (#298) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#206) | 0.444 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PORT | USD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.4% | 38.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.8% | 44.0% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 20.6% | 19.7% |
| FT Rate | 30.7% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.7% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.1% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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