Let fury have the hour / Anger can be power. "Clampdown" - The Clash
Western Michigan Broncos
68 – 79
FINAL Conference
Akron Zips
Mid-American Conference · University Arena (MI) · January 23, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread AKR -7.5 Away covered
O/U 137.5 Over
Money WMU +275 / AKR -275
Model Predictions
Spread Total WMU win
Actual AKR +11 147 Lost
Massey AKR -7.9 (-3.1) — —
Massey Totals — 133.5 (+13.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 6% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 5% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML AKR -6.6 (-4.4) 138.0 (+9.0) 27% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ AKR -6.7 (-4.3) 138.9 (+8.1) 26% ✓
Baseline Plus ML AKR -6.9 (-4.1) 137.3 (+9.7) 27% ✓
Baseline ML AKR -6.9 (-4.1) 138.6 (+8.4) 26% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 18, 2026 AKR 90 – 73 WMU
Jan 17, 2026 AKR 104 – 89 WMU
Feb 12, 2025 AKR 105 – 92 WMU
Mar 8, 2024 WMU 90 – 84 AKR
Jan 17, 2024 AKR 77 – 66 WMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WMU AKR
Overall 5-16 15-8
Conference 4-12 12-6
Home 2-9 9-1
Away 3-7 5-5
Neutral 0-0 1-2
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 63.1 76.6
Avg Pts Against 73.5 72.8
Massey -7.4 (#281) 3.4 (#115)
Bradley-Terry -2.66 (#326) 0.58 (#132)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.86 (#314) 0.64 (#134)
RPI 0.372 (#326) 0.539 (#100)
Shooting & Four Factors WMU AKR
FG% 42.7% 44.6%
3PT% 32.4% 33.6%
REB / G 33.7 39.6
OREB / G 8.4 10.5
AST / TO 0.76 0.97
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.6% 53.2%
TOV% 21.2% 20.6%
ORB% 25.2% 30.2%
FT Rate 17.3% 21.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.0% 47.3%
Opp TOV% 14.8% 14.8%
DRB% 70.1% 72.8%
Opp FT Rate 17.6% 21.4%

Game Analysis

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