What have I done? "Police On My Back" - The Clash
Southeastern Conference · Colonial Life Arena · January 23, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread SC -1.5 Away covered
O/U 153.5 Over
Money SC -120 / AUB +125
Model Predictions
Spread Total SC win
Actual AUB +23 195 Lost
Massey SC -2.0 (-25.0) — —
Massey Totals — 151.9 (+43.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 69% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 66% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML SC -3.0 (-26.0) 148.9 (+46.1) 67% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SC -2.0 (-25.0) 150.3 (+44.7) 58% ✗
Baseline Plus ML SC -2.7 (-25.7) 150.6 (+44.4) 67% ✗
Baseline ML SC -2.6 (-25.6) 151.6 (+43.4) 65% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 17, 2026 AUB 71 – 67 SC
Jan 11, 2025 AUB 66 – 63 SC
Mar 15, 2024 AUB 86 – 55 SC
Feb 15, 2024 AUB 101 – 61 SC
Jan 21, 2023 AUB 81 – 66 SC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SC AUB
Overall 6-15 13-14
Conference 4-12 7-11
Home 3-6 8-5
Away 2-7 3-8
Neutral 1-2 2-1
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L3 W1
Avg Pts For 72.5 77.2
Avg Pts Against 79.1 76.4
Massey 6.9 (#78) 7.7 (#71)
Bradley-Terry 1.37 (#78) 1.09 (#93)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.87 (#78) 1.76 (#82)
RPI 0.581 (#58) 0.523 (#130)
Shooting & Four Factors SC AUB
FG% 42.4% 44.9%
3PT% 30.4% 32.6%
REB / G 37.7 38.4
OREB / G 14.3 12.2
AST / TO 0.90 0.87
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.3% 52.8%
TOV% 21.5% 23.3%
ORB% 36.2% 34.2%
FT Rate 17.7% 24.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.9% 48.7%
Opp TOV% 22.7% 20.5%
DRB% 73.9% 69.6%
Opp FT Rate 34.7% 22.3%

Game Analysis

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