Betting Lines
| Spread | TOL -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | TOL -150 KENT +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TOL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TOL +2 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | TOL -3.0 (-1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.2 (-9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TOL -4.8 (-2.8) | 158.8 (-8.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TOL -3.2 (-1.2) | 153.7 (-3.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TOL -4.6 (-2.6) | 157.4 (-7.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TOL -4.7 (-2.7) | 158.3 (-8.3) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | KENT 75 – 72 TOL |
| Jan 16, 2026 | KENT 87 – 84 TOL |
| Feb 26, 2025 | KENT 105 – 65 TOL |
| Jan 22, 2025 | KENT 83 – 64 TOL |
| Mar 14, 2024 | KENT 67 – 59 TOL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TOL | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-9 | 15-8 |
| Conference | 15-4 | 12-6 |
| Home | 12-1 | 9-2 |
| Away | 7-5 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.1 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 72.5 |
| Massey | 8.7 (#63) | 8.5 (#64) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.43 (#75) | 0.77 (#116) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.29 (#65) | 1.35 (#106) |
| RPI | 0.565 (#76) | 0.543 (#92) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TOL | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 39.3% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 39.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 36.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.