I'll write on your tombstone, "I thank you for dinner." "Bungle in the Jungle" - Jethro Tull
Big West Conference · Bren Events Center · January 23, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread UCI -15.5 Home covered
O/U 135.5 Under
Money UCI -1800 / CP +1300
Model Predictions
Spread Total UCI win
Actual UCI +19 117 Won
Massey UCI -19.9 (-0.9) — —
Massey Totals — 135.6 (-18.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 98% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 100% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML UCI -16.0 (+3.0) 136.8 (-19.8) 90% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UCI -15.1 (+3.9) 131.9 (-14.9) 89% ✓
Baseline Plus ML UCI -17.8 (+1.2) 135.0 (-18.0) 90% ✓
Baseline ML UCI -17.5 (+1.5) 135.8 (-18.8) 90% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 6, 2026 UCI 107 – 85 CP
Feb 13, 2026 CP 79 – 73 UCI
Mar 15, 2025 UCI 96 – 78 CP
Jan 19, 2025 UCI 101 – 71 CP
Jan 3, 2025 UCI 98 – 89 CP

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UCI CP
Overall 18-9 4-20
Conference 10-4 1-15
Home 10-1 3-8
Away 6-6 0-11
Neutral 2-2 1-1
Last 5 4-1 0-5
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 68.4 59.8
Avg Pts Against 64.1 71.9
Massey 1.6 (#142) -15.5 (#339)
Bradley-Terry 0.34 (#147) -3.05 (#333)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.42 (#147) -4.46 (#334)
RPI 0.507 (#161) 0.338 (#341)
Shooting & Four Factors UCI CP
FG% 44.0% 36.2%
3PT% 34.4% 27.3%
REB / G 37.2 32.9
OREB / G 10.8 8.8
AST / TO 0.84 0.74
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.6% 41.0%
TOV% 21.7% 19.7%
ORB% 32.0% 23.4%
FT Rate 18.2% 21.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.1% 52.8%
Opp TOV% 17.2% 17.8%
DRB% 74.6% 69.1%
Opp FT Rate 24.4% 21.4%

Game Analysis

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