Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | VCU -250 DAY +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +23 | 109 | Won |
| Massey | VCU -9.0 (+14.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.2 (-28.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -7.0 (+16.0) | 138.1 (-29.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -6.3 (+16.7) | 133.3 (-24.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -7.8 (+15.2) | 137.1 (-28.1) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -7.5 (+15.5) | 139.5 (-30.5) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 15, 2026 | VCU 70 – 62 DAY |
| Mar 7, 2026 | VCU 68 – 62 DAY |
| Feb 7, 2026 | VCU 99 – 73 DAY |
| Mar 8, 2025 | DAY 79 – 76 VCU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | VCU 73 – 68 DAY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-7 | 14-10 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 9-7 |
| Home | 12-2 | 8-3 |
| Away | 5-3 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 67.8 |
| Massey | 9.5 (#58) | 3.3 (#118) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.66 (#64) | 0.88 (#109) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.16 (#69) | 2.15 (#70) |
| RPI | 0.572 (#65) | 0.528 (#117) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 50.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 57.7% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 22.7% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.5% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 14.9% |
Game Analysis
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