Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | CREI -400 CONN +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +8 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | CREI -5.7 (+2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.7 (-2.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -5.7 (+2.3) | 141.2 (-1.2) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -3.4 (+4.6) | 140.8 (-0.8) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -5.6 (+2.4) | 142.7 (-2.7) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -5.1 (+2.9) | 140.9 (-0.9) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | CREI 91 – 84 CONN |
| Feb 1, 2026 | CONN 85 – 58 CREI |
| Mar 15, 2025 | CREI 71 – 62 CONN |
| Feb 12, 2025 | CONN 70 – 66 CREI |
| Jan 18, 2025 | CREI 68 – 63 CONN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | CONN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-9 | 15-8 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 11-6 |
| Home | 11-3 | 7-3 |
| Away | 7-4 | 6-3 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 64.6 |
| Massey | 14.5 (#19) | 11.6 (#37) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.18 (#40) | 2.01 (#49) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.03 (#40) | 3.17 (#35) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#72) | 0.587 (#50) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | CONN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.0% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 14.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.1% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 39.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 22.6% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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