Betting Lines
| Spread | PV -19.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | MVSU +2500 PV -4000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MVSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PV +46 | 108 | Lost |
| Massey | PV -26.4 (-19.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (-37.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PV -13.6 (-32.4) | 139.4 (-31.4) | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PV -13.7 (-32.3) | 132.6 (-24.6) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PV -17.8 (-28.2) | 135.4 (-27.4) | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PV -16.6 (-29.4) | 133.2 (-25.2) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | PV 72 – 62 MVSU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | PV 70 – 69 MVSU |
| Feb 25, 2025 | PV 64 – 56 MVSU |
| Jan 12, 2025 | PV 74 – 65 MVSU |
| Feb 27, 2024 | MVSU 57 – 51 PV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MVSU | PV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2-22 | 16-5 |
| Conference | 2-13 | 13-0 |
| Home | 1-5 | 8-0 |
| Away | 1-16 | 5-3 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 56.8 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 87.4 | 64.2 |
| Massey | -35.1 (#349) | -5.9 (#260) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.50 (#347) | -0.13 (#179) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -7.33 (#348) | -0.50 (#202) |
| RPI | 0.327 (#345) | 0.484 (#195) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MVSU | PV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 33.5% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 29.3% |
| REB / G | 27.8 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 6.9 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.66 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.8% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 23.1% |
| ORB% | 16.8% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 10.7% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 60.3% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 23.7% |
| DRB% | 60.3% | 63.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 34.5% |
Game Analysis
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