Betting Lines
| Spread | PV -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | PV -3000 MVSU +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PV +8 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | PV -19.8 (-11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (-24.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PV -16.3 (-8.3) | 135.2 (-15.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PV -14.2 (-6.2) | 135.4 (-15.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PV -14.6 (-6.6) | 135.3 (-15.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PV -15.9 (-7.9) | 133.6 (-13.6) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | PV 72 – 62 MVSU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | PV 70 – 69 MVSU |
| Jan 12, 2025 | PV 74 – 65 MVSU |
| Feb 27, 2024 | MVSU 57 – 51 PV |
| Jan 13, 2024 | PV 71 – 60 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PV | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-27 | 3-28 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 1-17 |
| Home | 3-7 | 2-9 |
| Away | 2-19 | 1-19 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L4 | L9 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 52.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.2 | 82.3 |
| Massey | -15.2 (#357) | -31.8 (#364) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.76 (#360) | -4.72 (#363) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.50 (#361) | -6.11 (#363) |
| RPI | 0.371 (#356) | 0.366 (#359) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PV | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 36.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 26.5% |
| REB / G | 28.0 | 27.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 40.8% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 24.8% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 23.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.2% | 58.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 60.5% | 60.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.6% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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