Betting Lines
| Spread | NORF -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | COPP +140 NORF -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COPP +10 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | NORF -4.9 (+14.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (+5.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NORF -2.1 (+12.1) | 149.4 (+2.6) | 38% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NORF -2.2 (+12.2) | 149.4 (+2.6) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NORF -2.4 (+12.4) | 151.3 (+0.7) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NORF -2.1 (+12.1) | 151.5 (+0.5) | 42% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | NORF 75 – 69 COPP |
| Jan 24, 2026 | NORF 103 – 76 COPP |
| Feb 22, 2025 | NORF 79 – 63 COPP |
| Jan 11, 2025 | NORF 92 – 69 COPP |
| Mar 13, 2024 | NORF 75 – 51 COPP |
Game Analysis
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