Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | IUIN +1100 WRST -1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WRST +28 | 172 | Lost |
| Massey | WRST -16.5 (-11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.5 (+29.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WRST -13.3 (-14.7) | 143.6 (+28.4) | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WRST -13.3 (-14.7) | 146.2 (+25.8) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WRST -15.2 (-12.8) | 145.9 (+26.1) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WRST -14.4 (-13.6) | 143.7 (+28.3) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | WRST 85 – 73 IUIN |
| Jan 4, 2026 | WRST 81 – 77 IUIN |
| Mar 5, 2025 | WRST 98 – 85 IUIN |
| Mar 1, 2025 | IUIN 91 – 84 WRST |
| Feb 9, 2025 | WRST 91 – 73 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IUIN | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-10 | 18-6 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 16-4 |
| Home | 3-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 4-5 | 9-2 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 82.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 67.4 |
| Massey | -9.1 (#304) | 10.3 (#48) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#250) | 0.37 (#144) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.76 (#274) | 0.72 (#131) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#244) | 0.532 (#113) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IUIN | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 48.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 43.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 16.8% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 42.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 16.4% |
Game Analysis
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