Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | NICH -333 NOLA +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +24 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | NICH -9.2 (+14.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.8 (-2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -9.1 (+14.9) | 148.6 (-0.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -7.2 (+16.8) | 147.9 (+0.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -8.9 (+15.1) | 149.6 (-1.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -9.0 (+15.0) | 150.1 (-2.1) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2026 | NOLA 80 – 62 NICH |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NICH 90 – 77 NOLA |
| Feb 18, 2025 | NICH 78 – 62 NOLA |
| Dec 7, 2024 | NICH 73 – 70 NOLA |
| Feb 20, 2024 | NICH 89 – 77 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NICH | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-7 | 10-15 |
| Conference | 14-2 | 8-7 |
| Home | 8-1 | 6-3 |
| Away | 7-5 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 77.2 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#186) | -7.7 (#288) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.07 (#165) | -2.74 (#328) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#188) | -4.01 (#331) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#177) | 0.366 (#331) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NICH | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 22.5% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 17.1% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 22.3% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
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