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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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28–23 on winners spread MAE 9.8 51 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
St. Bonaventure @ Duquesne -7.8 127.9 22% 65–61 ✓
Marist @ Rider +0.5 131.3 50% 76–67 ✗
Northwestern @ Penn State +4.9 146.7 71% 78–81 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Siena +2.8 131.6 60% 40–47 ✓
Jacksonville @ North Alabama +2.0 141.0 61% 54–76 ✓
Saint Mary's @ San Francisco +2.5 128.7 55% 67–63 ✗
Santa Clara @ Loyola Marymount +5.3 133.9 71% 72–69 ✗
UC Santa Barbara @ Cal State Northridge -12.8 143.3 16% 80–66 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Riverside +3.3 124.5 51% 63–70 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC Irvine +16.3 130.5 90% 44–67 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Virginia +9.2 128.0 80% 62–64 ✓
USC @ California -9.9 136.0 21% 76–68 ✓
Colorado @ Washington State -9.9 137.3 20% 70–59 ✓
Kansas City @ Oral Roberts +5.1 135.5 71% 58–60 ✓
South Dakota @ Western Illinois -6.9 139.2 25% 84–74 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Lipscomb +2.8 139.6 62% 56–71 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ UTEP +1.1 138.9 55% 73–55 ✗
Hawai'i @ Cal State Fullerton +2.1 143.1 58% 76–53 ✗
Missouri @ Tennessee +7.0 130.1 78% 73–64 ✗
North Dakota @ South Dakota State +11.4 143.6 87% 74–85 ✓
Denver @ North Dakota State +13.6 136.7 87% 58–84 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Murray State +7.8 137.0 82% 63–72 ✓
Long Beach State @ California Baptist +5.5 156.8 75% 75–96 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Utah Tech -10.4 137.4 18% 81–46 ✓
Pacific @ Gonzaga +17.3 152.9 90% 49–95 ✓
Pepperdine @ BYU +10.7 148.9 86% 54–65 ✓
Oregon State @ Oregon +13.7 142.3 86% 75–64 ✗
Rutgers @ Indiana +4.0 138.6 69% 74–70 ✗
Davidson @ Massachusetts +1.9 141.7 54% 69–60 ✗
James Madison @ Northeastern +4.3 139.4 67% 79–72 ✗
Norfolk State @ Coppin State -0.8 152.3 55% 77–81 ✗
Delaware @ UNC Wilmington +5.3 135.3 75% 67–62 ✗
Delaware State @ Morgan State +17.1 157.9 89% 83–99 ✓
Stony Brook @ NJIT +2.7 138.0 62% 56–44 ✗
Charleston Southern @ Gardner-Webb +14.8 144.6 89% 62–74 ✓
Lehigh @ Holy Cross +4.2 143.0 58% 82–74 ✗
Radford @ UNC Asheville -1.2 139.4 46% 68–76 ✗
Presbyterian @ High Point +4.3 125.4 67% 57–81 ✓
UAlbany @ New Hampshire +2.9 133.1 60% 83–64 ✗
Western Kentucky @ Middle Tennessee -7.9 131.2 19% 68–52 ✓
Towson @ Hofstra +4.6 138.9 70% 69–74 ✓
Fordham @ Rhode Island +14.7 127.9 89% 42–52 ✓
Army @ Navy +3.0 133.8 65% 87–78 ✗
Loyola Chicago @ Bradley -4.4 128.4 28% 69–56 ✓
Utah @ Washington -4.1 137.9 34% 79–83 ✗
Memphis @ East Carolina -1.1 129.6 40% 80–53 ✓
Nevada @ Wyoming -1.7 145.9 47% 88–93 ✗
Valparaiso @ Illinois State +1.4 135.0 52% 70–66 ✗
Notre Dame @ Miami +1.1 138.9 56% 73–59 ✗
Boston University @ Lafayette +7.1 143.4 70% 64–61 ✗
American University @ Loyola Maryland +4.0 138.1 61% 81–79 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.