Betting Lines
| Spread | UNH -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | UNH -110 UALB +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UALB +19 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | UNH -1.7 (-20.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.4 (+12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNH -2.1 (-21.1) | 136.3 (+10.7) | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNH -2.9 (-21.9) | 133.1 (+13.9) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNH -2.5 (-21.5) | 138.1 (+8.9) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNH -2.1 (-21.1) | 137.3 (+9.7) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UALB 84 – 61 UNH |
| Jan 24, 2026 | UNH 80 – 72 UALB |
| Feb 23, 2025 | UNH 71 – 60 UALB |
| Jan 10, 2025 | UALB 61 – 57 UNH |
| Mar 1, 2024 | UALB 91 – 67 UNH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNH | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-9 | 7-9 |
| Conference | 9-6 | 6-6 |
| Home | 5-6 | 4-5 |
| Away | 5-3 | 2-4 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.8 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.3 | 68.7 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#198) | -0.8 (#177) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#196) | -1.35 (#277) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#194) | -1.56 (#266) |
| RPI | 0.495 (#178) | 0.425 (#278) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNH | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 28.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 6.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.4% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 20.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 80.8% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.3% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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