Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -25.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | GONZ -5000 PAC +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GONZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +46 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | GONZ -23.3 (+22.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.6 (-13.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -18.4 (+27.6) | 155.0 (-11.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -17.3 (+28.7) | 152.9 (-8.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -22.2 (+23.8) | 155.7 (-11.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -20.8 (+25.2) | 153.3 (-9.3) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | GONZ 71 – 62 PAC |
| Feb 9, 2025 | GONZ 78 – 61 PAC |
| Feb 18, 2024 | GONZ 102 – 76 PAC |
| Jan 28, 2024 | GONZ 82 – 73 PAC |
| Jan 22, 2023 | GONZ 99 – 90 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GONZ | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-1 | 9-9 |
| Conference | 15-0 | 6-7 |
| Home | 12-0 | 6-2 |
| Away | 7-0 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 12-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 91.0 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 22.7 (#2) | 2.1 (#134) |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.21 (#1) | 0.94 (#102) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 7.38 (#1) | 0.82 (#128) |
| RPI | 0.674 (#2) | 0.598 (#37) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GONZ | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 55.3% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.70 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.6% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 76.1% | 76.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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