Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -25.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | PAC +3000 GONZ -20000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +17 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | GONZ -25.2 (+8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.1 (-17.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -20.9 (+3.9) | 150.1 (-11.1) | 12% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -15.7 (-1.3) | 152.9 (-13.9) | 11% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -16.0 (-1.0) | 149.3 (-10.3) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -18.6 (+1.6) | 152.3 (-13.3) | 12% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | GONZ 71 – 62 PAC |
| Feb 18, 2024 | GONZ 102 – 76 PAC |
| Jan 28, 2024 | GONZ 82 – 73 PAC |
| Jan 22, 2023 | GONZ 99 – 90 PAC |
| Feb 11, 2022 | GONZ 89 – 51 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PAC | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-24 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 14-4 |
| Home | 5-10 | 13-2 |
| Away | 2-13 | 7-2 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 6-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 86.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.2 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -8.2 (#296) | 20.2 (#9) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.70 (#316) | 2.02 (#48) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.40 (#324) | 2.95 (#42) |
| RPI | 0.421 (#317) | 0.593 (#38) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PAC | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 49.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 2.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 55.8% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 13.6% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.6% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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