Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -31.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GONZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +26 | 178 | Won |
| Massey | GONZ -33.5 (-7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.6 (+27.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -30.1 (-4.1) | 153.6 (+24.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -24.2 (+1.8) | 153.9 (+24.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -22.9 (+3.1) | 150.4 (+27.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -30.3 (-4.3) | 152.1 (+25.9) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | GONZ 71 – 62 PAC |
| Feb 9, 2025 | GONZ 78 – 61 PAC |
| Jan 28, 2024 | GONZ 82 – 73 PAC |
| Jan 22, 2023 | GONZ 99 – 90 PAC |
| Feb 11, 2022 | GONZ 89 – 51 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GONZ | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 6-26 |
| Conference | 14-2 | 0-16 |
| Home | 13-2 | 5-12 |
| Away | 8-2 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L23 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.4 | 64.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 81.4 |
| Massey | 15.0 (#18) | -15.1 (#353) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.98 (#41) | -2.15 (#338) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.68 (#27) | -2.79 (#339) |
| RPI | 0.584 (#43) | 0.393 (#342) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GONZ | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.2% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 26.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.55 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.8% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 17.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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