Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | BYU -600 PEPP +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +11 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -14.3 (-3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.8 (-31.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -12.6 (-1.6) | 149.6 (-30.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -10.7 (+0.3) | 148.9 (-29.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -13.5 (-2.5) | 150.6 (-31.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -14.0 (-3.0) | 149.0 (-30.0) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2023 | PEPP 92 – 80 BYU |
| Jan 15, 2023 | BYU 91 – 81 PEPP |
| Feb 27, 2022 | BYU 75 – 59 PEPP |
| Feb 13, 2022 | BYU 91 – 85 PEPP |
| Mar 9, 2021 | BYU 82 – 77 PEPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-7 | 15-12 |
| Conference | 10-3 | 7-6 |
| Home | 11-2 | 7-5 |
| Away | 7-2 | 3-5 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | W3 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 75.0 |
| Massey | 12.2 (#35) | 0.6 (#152) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.88 (#16) | 0.13 (#164) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.52 (#26) | 0.26 (#158) |
| RPI | 0.630 (#11) | 0.521 (#135) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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