Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | WASH +200 UTAH -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +4 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -5.5 (+9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.6 (+22.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -4.7 (+8.7) | 139.0 (+23.0) | 29% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -4.1 (+8.1) | 137.9 (+24.1) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -5.3 (+9.3) | 140.9 (+21.1) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -4.6 (+8.6) | 139.9 (+22.1) | 33% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2025 | WASH 74 – 65 UTAH |
| Jan 28, 2024 | WASH 98 – 73 UTAH |
| Dec 31, 2023 | UTAH 95 – 90 WASH |
| Jan 22, 2023 | UTAH 86 – 61 WASH |
| Mar 10, 2022 | WASH 82 – 70 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-21 | 12-13 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 8-11 |
| Home | 4-7 | 8-5 |
| Away | 1-9 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 69.8 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#193) | 6.7 (#82) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.18 (#266) | 0.67 (#127) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.33 (#250) | 1.28 (#103) |
| RPI | 0.468 (#215) | 0.516 (#146) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 61.6% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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