Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | UTAH -450 WASH +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +25 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -8.7 (+16.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (+9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -6.7 (+18.3) | 138.8 (+8.2) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -6.6 (+18.4) | 141.5 (+5.5) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -6.4 (+18.6) | 138.8 (+8.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -6.6 (+18.4) | 139.3 (+7.7) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2025 | WASH 74 – 65 UTAH |
| Jan 28, 2024 | WASH 98 – 73 UTAH |
| Dec 31, 2023 | UTAH 95 – 90 WASH |
| Mar 10, 2022 | WASH 82 – 70 UTAH |
| Jan 29, 2022 | WASH 77 – 73 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 8-12 |
| Home | 12-6 | 12-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.8 | 70.3 |
| Massey | 10.0 (#44) | 4.9 (#103) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#85) | 1.00 (#90) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.37 (#86) | 1.26 (#92) |
| RPI | 0.523 (#134) | 0.541 (#102) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.6% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.6% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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