Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +4 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | WASH -0.3 (+3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.1 (+9.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WASH -1.2 (+2.8) | 139.1 (+10.9) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WASH -0.5 (+3.5) | 139.3 (+10.7) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -1.9 (+2.1) | 139.3 (+10.7) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WASH -2.0 (+2.0) | 139.1 (+10.9) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2025 | WASH 74 – 65 UTAH |
| Jan 28, 2024 | WASH 98 – 73 UTAH |
| Dec 31, 2023 | UTAH 95 – 90 WASH |
| Jan 22, 2023 | UTAH 86 – 61 WASH |
| Mar 10, 2022 | WASH 82 – 70 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 4-16 |
| Home | 11-6 | 7-9 |
| Away | 3-7 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#153) | 3.6 (#117) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.89 (#107) | -0.03 (#180) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#114) | 0.18 (#155) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#100) | 0.484 (#195) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.8% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.0% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 65.5% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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