Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | WASH -111 UTAH -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +25 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -2.2 (+27.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.5 (+9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -2.4 (+27.4) | 157.1 (+13.9) | 45% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -2.2 (+27.2) | 154.9 (+16.1) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -1.8 (+26.8) | 155.7 (+15.3) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -1.7 (+26.7) | 156.2 (+14.8) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2025 | WASH 74 – 65 UTAH |
| Dec 31, 2023 | UTAH 95 – 90 WASH |
| Jan 22, 2023 | UTAH 86 – 61 WASH |
| Mar 10, 2022 | WASH 82 – 70 UTAH |
| Jan 29, 2022 | WASH 77 – 73 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 22-15 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 9-11 |
| Home | 10-6 | 17-2 |
| Away | 5-6 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.6 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.1 | 73.2 |
| Massey | 8.4 (#70) | 14.2 (#21) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#96) | 1.96 (#42) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.35 (#94) | 2.36 (#45) |
| RPI | 0.555 (#90) | 0.597 (#36) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 54.5% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 15.9% |
Game Analysis
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