Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | WASH -140 UTAH +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +12 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -1.1 (+13.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.0 (+9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -0.2 (+12.2) | 143.1 (+8.9) | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -1.0 (+13.0) | 141.7 (+10.3) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -0.1 (+11.9) | 142.6 (+9.4) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WASH -0.2 (+11.8) | 141.8 (+10.2) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2025 | WASH 74 – 65 UTAH |
| Jan 28, 2024 | WASH 98 – 73 UTAH |
| Dec 31, 2023 | UTAH 95 – 90 WASH |
| Jan 22, 2023 | UTAH 86 – 61 WASH |
| Jan 29, 2022 | WASH 77 – 73 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 4-16 |
| Home | 11-6 | 7-9 |
| Away | 3-7 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 2.9 (#121) | 4.0 (#111) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#95) | 0.15 (#160) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.21 (#99) | 0.37 (#147) |
| RPI | 0.536 (#105) | 0.473 (#227) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 64.8% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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