Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.0 Over |
| Money | UTAH -600 WASH +430 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +5 | 185 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -9.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.5 (+23.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -8.1 (-3.1) | 158.1 (+26.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -8.5 (-3.5) | 161.2 (+23.8) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -8.5 (-3.5) | 156.6 (+28.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -7.7 (-2.7) | 157.3 (+27.7) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2025 | WASH 74 – 65 UTAH |
| Jan 28, 2024 | WASH 98 – 73 UTAH |
| Jan 22, 2023 | UTAH 86 – 61 WASH |
| Mar 10, 2022 | WASH 82 – 70 UTAH |
| Jan 29, 2022 | WASH 77 – 73 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-15 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 9-11 |
| Home | 17-2 | 10-6 |
| Away | 2-9 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 80.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 77.1 |
| Massey | 15.8 (#12) | 10.8 (#46) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.68 (#22) | 1.62 (#59) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.38 (#26) | 2.17 (#57) |
| RPI | 0.632 (#18) | 0.592 (#42) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.5% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 38.2% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.54 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.9% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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