Betting Lines
| Spread | HAW -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | CSUF +140 HAW -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAW +23 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | CSUF -1.9 (-24.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.6 (-24.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUF -2.9 (-25.9) | 148.9 (-19.9) | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUF -2.1 (-25.1) | 143.1 (-14.1) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUF -1.5 (-24.5) | 150.8 (-21.8) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CSUF -2.9 (-25.9) | 150.5 (-21.5) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | HAW 78 – 63 CSUF |
| Mar 1, 2026 | HAW 87 – 85 CSUF |
| Dec 7, 2025 | HAW 69 – 59 CSUF |
| Feb 2, 2025 | HAW 82 – 57 CSUF |
| Jan 11, 2025 | HAW 95 – 86 CSUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUF | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-10 | 11-10 |
| Conference | 5-7 | 9-9 |
| Home | 5-4 | 7-5 |
| Away | 1-5 | 4-4 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 70.3 |
| Massey | -3.3 (#222) | -2.4 (#205) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#211) | -1.09 (#260) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#196) | -1.08 (#233) |
| RPI | 0.413 (#292) | 0.424 (#280) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUF | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 38.0% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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