Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | ORE -450 ORST +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORST +11 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | ORE -18.3 (-29.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (-1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -16.1 (-27.1) | 144.1 (-5.1) | 90% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -13.7 (-24.7) | 142.3 (-3.3) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -14.9 (-25.9) | 145.3 (-6.3) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -16.0 (-27.0) | 144.7 (-5.7) | 88% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2025 | ORE 87 – 75 ORST |
| Nov 22, 2024 | ORE 78 – 75 ORST |
| Feb 29, 2024 | ORE 78 – 71 ORST |
| Feb 18, 2024 | ORE 60 – 58 ORST |
| Feb 26, 2023 | ORE 69 – 67 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-7 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 10-10 |
| Home | 11-2 | 10-6 |
| Away | 7-2 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 6-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 13.7 (#26) | -1.9 (#199) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.52 (#30) | 0.16 (#161) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.35 (#29) | 0.36 (#149) |
| RPI | 0.603 (#34) | 0.478 (#204) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 28.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 76.8% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.