Free Nelson Mandela! "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
America East Conference · Joel & Diane Bloom Wellness and Events Center · January 24, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread NJIT -2.5 Away covered
O/U 136.5 Under
Money NJIT -125 / STBK +140
Model Predictions
Spread Total NJIT win
Actual STBK +12 100 Lost
Massey NJIT -5.1 (-17.1) — —
Massey Totals — 144.3 (-44.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 67% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 65% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ NJIT -2.7 (-14.7) 138.0 (-38.0) 62% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML NJIT -3.9 (-15.9) 139.2 (-39.2) 67% ✗
Baseline ML NJIT -3.6 (-15.6) 138.5 (-38.5) 65% ✗
Baseline Plus ML NJIT -4.0 (-16.0) 140.1 (-40.1) 68% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 2, 2022 STBK 87 – 68 NJIT
Feb 6, 2022 NJIT 65 – 62 STBK
Jan 23, 2021 NJIT 74 – 65 STBK

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings NJIT STBK
Overall 7-12 9-14
Conference 6-10 7-9
Home 3-5 5-5
Away 4-6 4-8
Neutral 0-1 0-1
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L4 L2
Avg Pts For 66.1 65.4
Avg Pts Against 70.2 66.8
Massey -2.5 (#207) -4.9 (#242)
Bradley-Terry -0.97 (#248) -1.17 (#265)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.27 (#244) -1.36 (#252)
RPI 0.439 (#267) 0.454 (#236)
Shooting & Four Factors NJIT STBK
FG% 41.1% 44.6%
3PT% 33.7% 31.2%
REB / G 32.5 35.2
OREB / G 9.2 9.3
AST / TO 0.84 0.89
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.6% 49.6%
TOV% 16.3% 20.3%
ORB% 25.1% 26.3%
FT Rate 26.0% 24.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.9% 51.3%
Opp TOV% 19.9% 19.4%
DRB% 70.3% 73.3%
Opp FT Rate 19.4% 21.1%

Game Analysis

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