Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | ECU +275 MEM -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ECU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +27 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | MEM -1.1 (-25.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.5 (+4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -0.4 (-26.6) | 130.1 (+2.9) | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -1.1 (-25.9) | 129.6 (+3.4) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -1.7 (-25.3) | 132.7 (+0.3) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -0.8 (-26.2) | 131.8 (+1.2) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | ECU 84 – 68 MEM |
| Jan 11, 2025 | MEM 74 – 70 ECU |
| Mar 1, 2024 | MEM 82 – 58 ECU |
| Jan 7, 2023 | MEM 69 – 59 ECU |
| Jan 28, 2022 | MEM 71 – 54 ECU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ECU | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-11 | 20-8 |
| Conference | 2-10 | 11-4 |
| Home | 7-6 | 10-1 |
| Away | 1-4 | 4-3 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L5 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 62.7 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#133) | 6.0 (#90) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#112) | 1.18 (#86) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.14 (#112) | 1.69 (#80) |
| RPI | 0.560 (#77) | 0.511 (#153) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ECU | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 41.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 43.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 76.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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