Betting Lines
| Spread | PSU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | PSU -225 NU +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PSU +3 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | PSU -6.2 (-3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.1 (+7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PSU -5.1 (-2.1) | 148.7 (+10.3) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PSU -4.9 (-1.9) | 146.7 (+12.3) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PSU -5.1 (-2.1) | 150.7 (+8.3) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PSU -5.4 (-2.4) | 148.8 (+10.2) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | NU 76 – 66 PSU |
| Jan 30, 2026 | NU 94 – 73 PSU |
| Jan 3, 2025 | PSU 84 – 80 NU |
| Feb 11, 2024 | NU 68 – 63 PSU |
| Jan 10, 2024 | NU 76 – 72 PSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PSU | NU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-14 | 9-15 |
| Conference | 7-12 | 6-13 |
| Home | 7-5 | 7-6 |
| Away | 3-8 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 11.3 (#45) | 7.8 (#70) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.59 (#66) | 1.56 (#67) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.70 (#47) | 2.61 (#50) |
| RPI | 0.566 (#72) | 0.527 (#124) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PSU | NU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 6.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 19.0% |
| FT Rate | 16.6% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.4% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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