Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Under |
| Money | URI -1600 FOR +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | URI +10 | 94 | Won |
| Massey | URI -22.7 (-12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.7 (-28.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | URI -17.1 (-7.1) | 133.1 (-39.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | URI -14.7 (-4.7) | 127.9 (-33.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -17.6 (-7.6) | 129.8 (-35.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | URI -17.0 (-7.0) | 131.6 (-37.6) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | FOR 61 – 49 URI |
| Feb 14, 2026 | FOR 70 – 66 URI |
| Mar 12, 2025 | FOR 88 – 71 URI |
| Mar 8, 2025 | URI 86 – 67 FOR |
| Feb 6, 2025 | FOR 80 – 79 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-15 | 2-12 |
| Conference | 7-10 | 2-11 |
| Home | 6-3 | 2-5 |
| Away | 2-9 | 0-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 51.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 66.6 |
| Massey | 8.3 (#68) | -11.6 (#324) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#108) | -1.58 (#295) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.78 (#78) | -3.21 (#321) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#105) | 0.413 (#293) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 35.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 25.9% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 29.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 40.5% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 22.9% |
| FT Rate | 29.7% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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