Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSB -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | CSUN +650 UCSB -700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSB +14 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | UCSB -15.0 (+1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.3 (-5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSB -12.3 (-1.7) | 146.7 (-0.7) | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSB -12.8 (-1.2) | 143.3 (+2.7) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSB -15.5 (+1.5) | 147.4 (-1.4) | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSB -15.4 (+1.4) | 147.1 (-1.1) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | CSUN 85 – 83 UCSB |
| Jan 3, 2026 | CSUN 74 – 65 UCSB |
| Mar 14, 2025 | UCSB 78 – 72 CSUN |
| Mar 2, 2025 | CSUN 103 – 77 UCSB |
| Jan 31, 2025 | CSUN 78 – 71 UCSB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-13 | 22-5 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 13-3 |
| Home | 4-7 | 11-0 |
| Away | 4-4 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 63.6 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#299) | 9.0 (#62) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#191) | 1.00 (#98) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#222) | 1.24 (#105) |
| RPI | 0.465 (#217) | 0.559 (#79) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.4% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 23.0% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.5% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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