Betting Lines
| Spread | LEH -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | HC +100 LEH +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +8 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | HC -5.4 (-13.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.3 (+7.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HC -4.8 (-12.8) | 145.0 (+11.0) | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HC -4.2 (-12.2) | 143.0 (+13.0) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HC -4.9 (-12.9) | 147.2 (+8.8) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HC -5.3 (-13.3) | 145.3 (+10.7) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | LEH 69 – 66 HC |
| Feb 7, 2026 | HC 76 – 67 LEH |
| Jan 7, 2026 | LEH 66 – 58 HC |
| Feb 15, 2025 | LEH 72 – 60 HC |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LEH 69 – 67 HC |
Game Analysis
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