Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | HOF -200 TOW +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +5 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | HOF -7.6 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.2 (+0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -6.0 (-1.0) | 141.2 (+1.8) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -4.6 (+0.4) | 138.9 (+4.1) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -5.8 (-0.8) | 140.4 (+2.6) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -5.8 (-0.8) | 140.7 (+2.3) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | HOF 68 – 65 TOW |
| Feb 7, 2026 | HOF 71 – 49 TOW |
| Jan 8, 2026 | HOF 78 – 67 TOW |
| Jan 17, 2025 | TOW 65 – 60 HOF |
| Feb 3, 2024 | HOF 59 – 56 TOW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-10 | 4-14 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 3-9 |
| Home | 7-3 | 4-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 0-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#175) | -5.7 (#257) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#146) | -0.65 (#226) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.07 (#170) | -1.01 (#230) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#119) | 0.453 (#241) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.2% | 27.1% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 34.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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