I'll write on your tombstone, "I thank you for dinner." "Bungle in the Jungle" - Jethro Tull
Alumni Hall (Navy) · January 24, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread NAVY -2.5 Away covered
O/U 132.5 Over
Money NAVY -120 / ARMY +130
Model Predictions
Spread Total NAVY win
Actual ARMY +9 165 Lost
Massey NAVY -0.8 (-9.8) — —
Massey Totals — 135.2 (+29.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 86% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 87% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML NAVY -3.6 (-12.6) 137.3 (+27.7) 67% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ NAVY -3.0 (-12.0) 133.8 (+31.2) 65% ✗
Baseline Plus ML NAVY -2.8 (-11.8) 138.0 (+27.0) 65% ✗
Baseline ML NAVY -2.8 (-11.8) 135.4 (+29.6) 61% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 21, 2026 NAVY 81 – 63 ARMY
Jan 24, 2026 NAVY 84 – 56 ARMY
Feb 15, 2025 NAVY 61 – 54 ARMY
Jan 26, 2025 NAVY 66 – 53 ARMY
Feb 10, 2024 ARMY 69 – 67 NAVY

Game Analysis

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