Betting Lines
| Spread | SDAK -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | WIU +320 SDAK -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDAK +10 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | SDAK -8.7 (-1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.8 (+17.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDAK -8.4 (-1.6) | 138.1 (+19.9) | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDAK -6.9 (-3.1) | 139.2 (+18.8) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDAK -8.0 (-2.0) | 141.8 (+16.2) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDAK -8.9 (-1.1) | 138.7 (+19.3) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2024 | SDAK 89 – 66 WIU |
| Dec 3, 2023 | SDAK 70 – 68 WIU |
| Jan 27, 2023 | WIU 75 – 72 SDAK |
| Dec 31, 2022 | SDAK 80 – 63 WIU |
| Feb 19, 2022 | SDAK 78 – 65 WIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIU | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-15 | 14-11 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 11-4 |
| Home | 2-5 | 7-2 |
| Away | 4-9 | 5-4 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-5 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.5 | 73.4 |
| Massey | -10.2 (#313) | 1.2 (#149) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.85 (#332) | -0.76 (#234) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.35 (#325) | -0.75 (#218) |
| RPI | 0.363 (#332) | 0.453 (#237) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIU | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.8% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.0% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.9% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 21.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 75.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 28.3% |
Game Analysis
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