Betting Lines
| Spread | MORG -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
| Money | MORG -1200 DSU +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORG +16 | 182 | Won |
| Massey | MORG -20.9 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.7 (+18.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORG -16.9 (-0.9) | 156.1 (+25.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORG -17.1 (-1.1) | 157.9 (+24.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORG -17.9 (-1.9) | 158.7 (+23.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORG -18.1 (-2.1) | 158.3 (+23.7) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | DSU 75 – 70 MORG |
| Feb 21, 2026 | MORG 82 – 68 DSU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | MORG 80 – 79 DSU |
| Mar 4, 2025 | MORG 87 – 81 DSU |
| Feb 4, 2025 | DSU 84 – 82 MORG |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.