Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | TENN -333 MIZ +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MIZ +9 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | TENN -8.1 (-17.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.7 (+8.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -6.2 (-15.2) | 131.2 (+5.8) | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -7.0 (-16.0) | 130.1 (+6.9) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -7.4 (-16.4) | 132.8 (+4.2) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -7.0 (-16.0) | 133.7 (+3.3) | 77% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | MIZ 73 – 69 TENN |
| Feb 6, 2025 | TENN 85 – 81 MIZ |
| Feb 21, 2024 | TENN 72 – 67 MIZ |
| Mar 10, 2023 | MIZ 79 – 71 TENN |
| Feb 11, 2023 | MIZ 86 – 85 TENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-9 | 16-10 |
| Conference | 10-7 | 8-8 |
| Home | 13-3 | 8-4 |
| Away | 4-4 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.5 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 17.8 (#8) | 12.4 (#33) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.82 (#18) | 2.99 (#12) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.59 (#22) | 3.57 (#23) |
| RPI | 0.608 (#29) | 0.666 (#3) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 27.9% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 30.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 44.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.0% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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