Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Over |
| Money | MIZ +210 TENN -260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MIZ +8 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -10.5 (+18.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.3 (+7.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -7.6 (+15.6) | 139.6 (+10.4) | 30% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -8.2 (+16.2) | 138.3 (+11.7) | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -7.1 (+15.1) | 139.5 (+10.5) | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -7.2 (+15.2) | 140.5 (+9.5) | 28% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | MIZ 73 – 69 TENN |
| Feb 6, 2025 | TENN 85 – 81 MIZ |
| Feb 21, 2024 | TENN 72 – 67 MIZ |
| Feb 11, 2023 | MIZ 86 – 85 TENN |
| Feb 23, 2022 | TENN 80 – 61 MIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIZ | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 25-11 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 11-7 |
| Home | 16-3 | 14-2 |
| Away | 5-5 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 7-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.9 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 57.9 |
| Massey | 9.0 (#59) | 19.4 (#3) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.31 (#23) | 2.40 (#20) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.50 (#35) | 3.07 (#16) |
| RPI | 0.586 (#36) | 0.610 (#13) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIZ | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 37.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 41.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.4% | 22.3% |
| DRB% | 62.2% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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