Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +19 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | TENN -14.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.8 (+9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -11.0 (-8.0) | 133.7 (+7.3) | 17% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -11.5 (-7.5) | 132.8 (+8.2) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -11.4 (-7.6) | 133.5 (+7.5) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -11.6 (-7.4) | 133.2 (+7.8) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | MIZ 73 – 69 TENN |
| Feb 6, 2025 | TENN 85 – 81 MIZ |
| Feb 21, 2024 | TENN 72 – 67 MIZ |
| Mar 10, 2023 | MIZ 79 – 71 TENN |
| Feb 11, 2023 | MIZ 86 – 85 TENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIZ | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 14-4 |
| Home | 8-8 | 16-0 |
| Away | 2-10 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.7 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 62.9 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#154) | 18.0 (#9) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#138) | 2.92 (#14) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#128) | 3.56 (#14) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#171) | 0.631 (#9) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIZ | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 27.9% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 24.1% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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