Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | TENN -400 MIZ +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +4 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -8.6 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.9 (+31.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -7.6 (-3.6) | 133.1 (+32.9) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -9.8 (-5.8) | 134.7 (+31.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -7.4 (-3.4) | 130.9 (+35.1) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -7.4 (-3.4) | 131.9 (+34.1) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | MIZ 73 – 69 TENN |
| Feb 21, 2024 | TENN 72 – 67 MIZ |
| Mar 10, 2023 | MIZ 79 – 71 TENN |
| Feb 11, 2023 | MIZ 86 – 85 TENN |
| Feb 23, 2022 | TENN 80 – 61 MIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-8 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 16-1 | 18-2 |
| Away | 6-5 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 83.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.1 | 73.6 |
| Massey | 22.2 (#4) | 16.7 (#24) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.76 (#4) | 3.56 (#6) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.01 (#4) | 4.43 (#8) |
| RPI | 0.645 (#8) | 0.612 (#27) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 48.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 56.6% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 38.4% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 35.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.0% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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